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Probability Theory for Data Science

By Prof. Ishapathik Das   |   IIT Tirupati
Learners enrolled: 2719   |  Exam registration: 662
ABOUT THE COURSE:
"Probability Theory for Data Science" is a specialized course designed to equip students with the essential knowledge and skills needed to analyze uncertain phenomena and make data-driven decisions in various domains. It provides a comprehensive understanding of the principles of probability and their applications in the context of data science. This course is essential for anyone aspiring to work in data-driven fields such as machine learning, artificial intelligence, statistics, and predictive analytics.
The course typically begins with an introduction to basic concepts in probability theory, including sample spaces, events, and different approaches to defining probability. Emphasis is placed on developing a solid grasp of fundamental probability rules, such as the addition and multiplication rules, as well as understanding conditional probability, independence, and Bayes theorem. As the course progresses, students delve deeper into more advanced topics, such as random variables, probability distributions, and expectation. They explore common probability distributions, including binomial, Poisson, uniform, exponential, and normal distributions, and they learn how to calculate probabilities and expected values associated with these distributions. Additionally, students gain insight into concepts like moments, variance, and covariance, which are crucial for understanding data variability in real-world scenarios. Following this, students delve into the study of multiple random variables, exploring concepts such as the transformation of random variables, moment-generating functions, and key theorems pertaining to the convergence of random variables.
"Probability Theory for Data Science" equips students with a strong theoretical foundation in probability and the analytical skills necessary to tackle complex data-driven problems. By mastering the principles of probability theory and its applications in data science, students are better prepared to excel in diverse roles within the rapidly growing field of data analytics and machine learning.

INTENDED AUDIENCE: Graduate students and researchers from Academics and Industry who are interested in Data Science.

PREREQUISITES: 10+2 Mathematics
Summary
Course Status : Completed
Course Type : Core
Language for course content : English
Duration : 12 weeks
Category :
  • Mathematics
Credit Points : 3
Level : Undergraduate
Start Date : 22 Jul 2024
End Date : 11 Oct 2024
Enrollment Ends : 05 Aug 2024
Exam Registration Ends : 16 Aug 2024
Exam Date : 27 Oct 2024 IST

Note: This exam date is subject to change based on seat availability. You can check final exam date on your hall ticket.


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Course layout

Week 1:
  • Phenomena
  • Definitions: sample space, events
  • Set operations
  • Definitions of probability: classical approach, frequency approach, axiomatic
  • approach
  • Important theorems
  • Examples
  • Conditional probability
  • Examples
Week 2:
  • Independence
  • Mutually exclusive vs. independence
  • Bayes’ theorem
  • Examples
  • Random variable
  • Events defined by random variables
  • Examples
  • Cumulative distribution function
Week 3:
  • Properties of the cumulative distribution function
  • Examples
  • Discrete random variable
  • Probability mass function
  • Continuous random variable
  • Probability density function
  • Mean
  • Examples
Week 4:
  • Moments
  • Variance
  • Examples
  • Bernoulli distribution
  • Binomial distribution
  • Poisson distribution
Week 5:
  • Poisson distribution examples
  • Uniform distribution
  • Exponential distribution
  • Memoryless property
  • Gamma distribution
Week 6:
  • Gamma distribution examples
  • Normal distribution
  • Examples
  • Conditional distribution
  • Conditional probability mass function
  • Conditional probability density function
  • Examples
  • Bivariate random variables
  • Examples
  • Joint distribution function
Week 7:
  • Properties of the joint distribution function
  • Independence
  • Marginal distribution function
  • Examples
  • Joint probability mass function
  • Examples
  • Joint probability density function
  • Examples
Week 8:
  • Conditional probability mass functions
  • Examples
  • Conditional probability density function
  • Examples
  • Moments
  • Covariance and correlation coefficient
  • Examples
Week 9:
  • Conditional mean
  • Examples
  • Conditional variance
  • Examples
  • Multivariate random variable
  • Multivariate cumulative distribution function
  • Multivariate probability mass function
  • Marginals
Week 10:
  • Multivariate probability density function
  • Marginals
  • Independence
  • Moments
  • Examples
  • Multinomial distribution
  • Applications
  • Multivariate normal distribution
  • Applications
Week 11:
  • Transformation of random variables: theorems, examples
  • Transformation of multivariate random variables
  • Examples
Week 12:
  • Moment generating function: theorems, examples
  • Characteristic function
  • Chebychev’s inequality
  • Examples
  • Notion of convergence
  • The weak law of large numbers
  • The strong law of large numbers
  • The central limit theorem
  • Examples

Books and references

  1. Chung K L, Elementary Probability Theory with Stochastic Process, Springer Verlag (1974)
  2. Drake A, Fundamentals of Applied Probability Theory, McGraw-Hill (1967)
  3. Kreyszig E, Advanced Engineering Mathematics, John Wiley & Sons (2010)
  4. Ross S, A First course in Probability, Prentice Hall of India (2009)

Instructor bio

Prof. Ishapathik Das

IIT Tirupati
Prof. Ishapathik Das is an Professor in the Department of Mathematics and Statistics , IIT Tirupati . He did Postdoctoral Research Associate, Duke University, USA.Ph.D, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, India. M.Sc, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur, India. B.Sc, Ramakrishna Mission Vidyamandira, Belur, India.

Course certificate

The course is free to enroll and learn from. But if you want a certificate, you have to register and write the proctored exam conducted by us in person at any of the designated exam centres.
The exam is optional for a fee of Rs 1000/- (Rupees one thousand only).
Date and Time of Exams: 
27 October 2024 Morning session 9am to 12 noon; Afternoon Session 2pm to 5pm.
Registration url: Announcements will be made when the registration form is open for registrations.
The online registration form has to be filled and the certification exam fee needs to be paid. More details will be made available when the exam registration form is published. If there are any changes, it will be mentioned then.
Please check the form for more details on the cities where the exams will be held, the conditions you agree to when you fill the form etc.

CRITERIA TO GET A CERTIFICATE

Average assignment score = 25% of average of best 8 assignments out of the total 12 assignments given in the course.
Exam score = 75% of the proctored certification exam score out of 100

Final score = Average assignment score + Exam score

YOU WILL BE ELIGIBLE FOR A CERTIFICATE ONLY IF AVERAGE ASSIGNMENT SCORE >=10/25 AND EXAM SCORE >= 30/75. If one of the 2 criteria is not met, you will not get the certificate even if the Final score >= 40/100.

Certificate will have your name, photograph and the score in the final exam with the breakup.It will have the logos of NPTEL and IIT Tirupati. It will be e-verifiable at nptel.ac.in/noc.

Only the e-certificate will be made available. Hard copies will not be dispatched.

Once again, thanks for your interest in our online courses and certification. Happy learning.

- NPTEL team


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