**About the course**Forecasting is an important aspect of any experimental study. The forecasting can be done by finding the model between the input and output variables. The tools of linear regression analysis help in finding out a statistical model between input variables and output variable which in turn provides forecasting. For example, the yield of a crop depends upon the area of crop, quantity of seeds, rainfall etc. The statistical relation between yield and area of crop, quantity of seeds, rainfall etc. can be determined by the regression analysis and forecasting can be done to know the yield in future. The accuracy of forecasting depends upon the goodness of obtained model. What are its steps and checks required to obtain a good model and in turn, how to do forecasting is being aimed to be taught in this course.

Intended Audience

Prerequisite

Industries that will recognize this course

Dr. Shalabh is a Professor of Statistics at IIT Kanpur. His research areas of interest are linear models, regression analysis and econometrics. He has more than 22 years of experience in teaching and research. He has developed several web based NPTEL courses including on regression analysis and has conducted several workshops on statistics for teachers, researchers and practitioners. He has received several national and international award and fellowships. He has authored more than 70 research papers in national and international journals. He has written four books and one of the book on linear models is coauthored with Prof. C.R. Rao.

Week 1:

Week 4:

Suggested Reading

2. Applied Regression Analysis by Norman R. Draper, Harry Smith(Wiley), Low price Indian edition is available.

**Course url:** https://onlinecourses.nptel.ac.in/noc17_ma08**Course duration :** 4 weeks**Start date and end date of course:** 23 January 2017-17 February 2017**Date of exam:** ** **26 March, 2017**Time of exam:** **Shift 1:** 9am-12noon; **Shift 2:** 2pm-5pm

Any one shift can be chosen to write the exam for a course

Final List of exam cities will be available in exam registration form.

Registration url - Announcements will be made when the registration form is
open for registrations.

**Exam Fee:** The online registration form has to be filled and the
certification exam fee of approximately **Rs 1000** needs to be paid.

Certificate

E-Certificate will be given to those who register and write the
exam and score greater than or equal to 40% final score.

Final score = 25% assignment score + 75% exam score
25% assignment score is calculated as 25% of average of scores of Best 3 out of 4 assignments

Certificate will have
your name, photograph and the score in the final exam with the breakup. It will
have the logos of NPTEL and IIT Kanpur. It will be e-verifiable at __nptel.ac.in/noc__.